Ben Matthews

  • New here on lemmy, will add more info later …
  • Also on mdon: @benjhm@scicomm.xyz
  • Try my interactive climate / futures model: SWIM
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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: September 15th, 2023

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  • Can see reasons why this compromise makes sense:

    • Flying so many participants to Adelaide would result in much greater CO2 emissions, while Türkiye is much closer to the centre of gravity of global population.
    • The Australian team has support of a better scientific capacity (like CSIRO), motivation from the network of small islands, and the language helps run such negotiations (although a pity it’s like that).
    • Both countries have a high vulnerability to climate change impacts - drought.
    • But the Australians don’t want too much scrutiny of their high per-capita emissions and coal exports.
    • While Türkiye is not a fossil-fuel exporter (unlike previous 3 COP hosts in middle east), and has a relatively large young population, so the ‘enthusiasm’ generated by hosting the COP may help build long-term capacity lacking in that region.

    However, pity Türkiye choose Antalya, a haven for russian oligarch sunbathers, and doesn’t even have a railway.
    And, zooming out, pity the system of UN regions, and in general the system of COPs is so crazy.






  • I remember in 1990s the talk about “Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok”, also having crossed the land border from Russia to China several times during that period, I felt the relative european culture on ‘our’ side. So, yes, there was a lost opportunity, and we could have been more welcoming, but it was not a conspiracy, nor were any specific political groups to blame (as article hints) - rather just the slow muddled consensus-processes of EU and NATO could not cope with any faster expansion, meanwhile russians got impatient and let Putin (KGB) take over, so it went bad.
    If we were to redesign the whole structure, I’d say we should abolish NATO and replace it with a mutual defence organisation for democracies anywhere in the world - including Brazil, Japan, India, etc. if they like, but with no permanent membership. There should be clearly specified democratic criteria including freedom for political opposition, media, NGOs, etc., and when these are no-longer fulfilled, a procedure for suspension of rights that requires a large majority but no vetos. So, currently Hungary might be suspended, and even USA if it continues its current track, while democrats in Russia (or in exile from R) might be encouraged to see a long-term pathway open.
    Such redesign of NATO - conversion from a tribal members club to a defence of democracy - might even be an face-saving way to end the war.